Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.069401 0.080625 0.092906 0.107317 0.123739 0.141842 0.163285
2025-02-02 0.054141 0.069401 0.087601 0.110804 0.139483 0.173647 0.217297
2025-02-09 0.040566 0.056859 0.077857 0.106668 0.144899 0.193583 0.259912
2025-02-16 0.032071 0.048720 0.071713 0.105372 0.152882 0.216945 0.309125
2025-02-23 0.025392 0.041562 0.065362 0.102318 0.157456 0.235686 0.353793
2025-03-02 0.020584 0.036106 0.060332 0.100022 0.162271 0.254691 0.400277
2025-03-09 0.017566 0.032816 0.057911 0.101044 0.171759 0.281016 0.459623
2025-03-16 0.014438 0.028703 0.053428 0.097953 0.174131 0.296398 0.503422
2025-03-23 0.013122 0.027529 0.053640 0.102570 0.189361 0.333188 0.583973
2025-03-30 0.011473 0.025408 0.051815 0.103290 0.197894 0.359651 0.649859
2025-04-06 0.009724 0.022745 0.048553 0.100880 0.200495 0.376143 0.700207
2025-04-13 0.008350 0.020590 0.045913 0.099213 0.204105 0.394473 0.754967
2025-04-20 0.007808 0.020179 0.046765 0.104597 0.221758 0.439799 0.862117
2025-04-27 0.007254 0.019640 0.047278 0.109369 0.238765 0.485506 0.973927
2025-05-04 0.006136 0.017532 0.044080 0.105961 0.239125 0.500114 1.029530
2025-05-11 0.005357 0.016102 0.042162 0.105018 0.244343 0.524370 1.105237
2025-05-18 0.004574 0.014489 0.039551 0.102145 0.245112 0.539846 1.165080
2025-05-25 0.003945 0.013150 0.037373 0.099938 0.247005 0.557620 1.230715
2025-06-01 0.003561 0.012431 0.036622 0.101004 0.256234 0.591143 1.330548
2025-06-08 0.003047 0.011195 0.034323 0.097936 0.255649 0.603913 1.388560
2025-06-15 0.002900 0.011085 0.035032 0.102564 0.273547 0.657756 1.536628
2025-06-22 0.002624 0.010483 0.034279 0.103290 0.282155 0.691937 1.645186
2025-06-29 0.002278 0.009560 0.032449 0.100883 0.282813 0.708425 1.716553